2012 Euro Cup semifinals: Italy vs. Germany, Las Vegas odds and decide on

The 2012 Euro Cup is right down to the ultimate four teams, when Italy and Germany square off Thursday afternoon they shall be playing to handle the winner from the Spain vs. Portugal game which takes place later today.
Recent history between both of these teams favors Italy, but Germany doesn't care about the past, they may be centered on the game taking place.
The German squad have not beaten Italy inside a competitive match.
"We can't reverse time, forget about over it, days gone by doesn't may play a role in our here planning," said German Coach Joachim Loew. "Another stat is the fact that Germany has not won against Italy in the major tournament, but just what exactly?"
Las Vegas odds makers must feel it's the perfect time for Germany to win as they are the widely used at -135. The Over/Under number is 2.5.
This game will probably be a difficult, hard fought match. My buddies are telling me that I am going the wrong manner with this match, but here it is anyways!
Pick - Italy

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